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Seminar: CESD

Tuesday, January 13, 2015, 01:15pm - 02:15pm


Typical climate patterns observed in Los Baños and possible
applications for crop management

Helen Grace Centeno
Associate Scientist
Reiner Wassman
Climate Unit, CESDivision

Abstract. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Climate Prediction Center released a statement, ”There is an approximately 65% chance that El Niño conditions will be present during the Northern Hemisphere winter and last into the Northern Hemisphere spring 2015’’. This seasonal forecast means that in Los Baños we can expect exceptionally dry conditions from December 2014 to March 2015. However, to date, we have experienced the opposite of El Niño conditions. This does not mean that the forecast of El Niño is incorrect. Instead of basing local forecasts on global outlooks, it might be better to look into local records over recent years. Established in 1979, the IRRI Climate Unit has amassed weather and climate data, which has been made available in a structured database. Recent data have been analyzed to determine typical weather patterns and extremes. This presentation will demonstrate case studies that show how weather and climate data can be used in rice research, specifically (a) to determine start of cropping season, (b) to forecast for dry periods, and (c) to identify locations ideal for seed multiplication.


Umali Bldg Rm A